Hong Kong stocks ushered in the "structural bull" and the future valuation center is expected to rise. Since late September, the policy combination boxing has exceeded expectations, and the Hang Seng Index has taken advantage of the trend. As of the close of December 13th, the Hang Seng Index has risen by 17.15% this year, which is the first time since 2020. In terms of sectors and individual stocks, it is one after another, constantly deducing "structural cattle". Wind's statistics show that since the beginning of this year, a total of 333 stocks have increased by more than 50%, of which 142 stocks have doubled, and Quanzhi International has increased by more than 10 times this year. Eight stocks including Boya Interactive, Wanshun Ruiqiang Group, Zheli Holdings, Honghao International Holdings and Shanghai Qingpu Fire Protection have also increased by more than 5 times. For the trend of Hong Kong stocks in 2025, Guotai Junan Hong Kong believes that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates in 2025, and the valuation center of Hong Kong stocks will continue to improve marginally. Looking ahead, Hong Kong stocks will remain volatile and investors need to pay attention to structural industry opportunities. In its view, the Hong Kong stock market is dominated by "N"-shaped upward volatility, and there are many flexible opportunities in the stage, but we should pay attention to actively looking for structural industry opportunities. (Securities Times)Meta stepped in to discourage OpenAI from turning into a profit-making enterprise, and Meta urged the Attorney General of California to stop OpenAI from turning into a profit-making enterprise. Meta said that allowing OpenAI to become a for-profit company will set a dangerous precedent, that is, allowing startups to enjoy the advantage of non-profit status before preparing for profit.CITIC Securities: The growth rate of supply is expected to move down rapidly, and there is room for aluminum price increase. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the growth rate of global electrolytic aluminum production is expected to be 3.6%/2.2%/1.7%/0.9% from 2024 to 2027, showing a rapid downward trend. At the same time, our calculation results show that the incentive price of overseas electrolytic aluminum projects may be as high as 3000 US dollars /24000 yuan. The current aluminum price is difficult to stimulate overseas capacity expansion. We are optimistic about the rising space of aluminum price and the allocation value of aluminum plate under the background of strong supply constraints. Maintain the aluminum plate "stronger than the market" rating.
Famous products Ye Guofu: Promote high-quality development with high-quality consumption. Recently, Ye Guofu, the founder, chairman and CEO of Famous Products, talked with the media about the 2024 Central Economic Work Conference and expressed confidence in the consumer market in China next year. Ye Guofu said that benefiting people's livelihood is widely expected and actively responds to the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference. Enterprises have the responsibility to fully support and cooperate with the state to do a good job in consumption, boost consumption, enhance consumption capacity, and promote high-quality development with high-quality consumption.Two-way opening-up continues to deepen, and foreign-funded institutions continue to be optimistic about China's capital market. Near the end of the year, many foreign-funded institutions have issued investment strategies for 2025. Foreign-funded institutions generally believe that a series of incremental policies since the end of September are gradually exerting their effects, providing strong support for China's stable economic growth and high-quality development. At the same time, the interconnection of financial markets continues to deepen, and the system of qualified foreign investors continues to be optimized, which also makes foreign investors' interest in investing in China continue to rise. Many foreign-funded institutions such as Goldman Sachs, UBS and Morgan Asset Management continue to be optimistic about the market outlook of China's capital market. Xing Ziqiang, chief economist of Morgan Stanley in China, said that the regulatory authorities are increasingly friendly to foreign investment, and the attention of overseas long-term capital and foreign investors to China is also developing in a positive direction. With the coordinated efforts of reform, it is believed that China's economy and market confidence will continue to stabilize and rebound. (Securities Times)Market News: After deliberation by the IMF Executive Board, Jordan unlocked $131 million in funds.
Market News: An earthquake of magnitude 6.09 occurred on the border between Argentina and Chile.USGS: A 6.4-magnitude earthquake occurred 41km southeast of Molina, Chile.The head of the South Korean Police Department was formally detained. According to South Korean media reports, Zhao Zhihao, the head of the South Korean Police Department, and Kim Fung-sik, the head of the Seoul Police Department, were formally detained on the evening of December 13th. The Central District Court of Seoul said that Zhao Zhihao and Jin Fengzhi had the possibility of destroying evidence, so they issued detention orders. (CCTV International News)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14